Villanova
CAA · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 35% of the time
Power
#8
+13.3 pts · likely #4–36
Strength of schedule
32.5
#62 of 128
Strength of victory
26.7
#37
Record SOS
0.566
Opp. 53.7% · Opp. opp. 62.6%
Remaining SOS
54.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lehigh | W 38-10 | −7.4 | +2.4 | 0.171 | 3 | +22.1 |
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 42-19 | −1.8 | −2.4 | 0.186 | 3 | +18.5 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 35-9 | +5.5 | −2.4 | 0.347 | 2 | +27.0 |
| 5 | at UAlbany | L 10-31 | +10.7 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Stony Brook · p 0.048
- Wk 10: at New Hampshire · p 0.683
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.303
- Wk 12: at Delaware · p 0.751
- Wk 14: vs Youngstown State · p 0.538
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.921
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UCFFBS · L 14-48