Colgate
Patriot · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#70
−2.2 pts · likely #50–96
Strength of schedule
43.3
#15 of 128
Strength of victory
29.4
#28
Record SOS
0.616
Opp. 66.2% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
26.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Villanova | L 19-42 | +13.5 | +2.4 | 0.678 | 1 | −7.4 |
| 3 | vs Penn | L 6-20 | +5.2 | −2.4 | 0.338 | 2 | −10.0 |
| 4 | at Holy Cross | L 7-47 | +14.3 | +2.4 | 0.700 | 1 | −17.1 |
| 5 | at Cornell | W 35-25 | −0.9 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Bucknell · p 0.068
- Wk 10: at Lafayette · p 0.573
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.090
- Wk 12: vs Fordham · p 0.333
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-65