Penn
Ivy · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#39
+6.3 pts · likely #20–64
Strength of schedule
28.8
#83 of 128
Strength of victory
29.4
#27
Record SOS
0.517
Opp. 49.5% · Opp. opp. 56.0%
Remaining SOS
33.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Colgate | W 20-6 | −1.3 | +2.4 | 0.294 | 2 | +14.1 |
| 4 | at Bucknell | W 37-21 | −10.3 | +2.4 | 0.124 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 20-23 OT | +1.7 | −2.4 | 0.257 | 2 | −2.3 |
| 6 | vs Georgetown | W 42-39 OT | −4.9 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Brown · p 0.200
- Wk 10: vs Cornell · p 0.169
- Wk 11: at Harvard · p 0.660
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.322