Bucknell
Patriot · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#91
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#104
−10.7 pts · likely #82–120
Strength of schedule
33.0
#59 of 128
Strength of victory
19.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 62.4% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
23.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs VMI | W 21-13 | −10.9 | −2.4 | 0.065 | 4 | −5.8 |
| 4 | vs Penn | L 21-37 | +6.1 | −2.4 | 0.361 | 2 | −12.0 |
| 5 | at Lafayette | L 22-56 | +7.5 | +2.4 | 0.524 | 1 | −22.7 |
| 6 | vs Holy Cross | L 27-55 | +16.0 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Colgate · p 0.268
- Wk 10: at Fordham · p 0.455
- Wk 11: vs Georgetown · p 0.152
- Wk 12: at Marist · p 0.078
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at James MadisonFBS · L 3-38