UAlbany
CAA · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#11
+13.0 pts · likely #5–36
Strength of schedule
44.5
#13 of 128
Strength of victory
40.1
#6
Record SOS
0.620
Opp. 65.3% · Opp. opp. 55.3%
Remaining SOS
44.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Fordham | W 34-13 | +6.5 | −2.4 | 0.372 | 2 | +23.7 |
| 4 | at Morgan State | W 23-17 OT | −4.9 | +2.4 | 0.217 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 5 | vs Villanova | W 31-10 | +17.0 | −2.4 | 0.651 | 1 | +31.9 |
| 6 | at Towson | W 24-17 | +3.7 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Maine · p 0.225
- Wk 10: vs William & Mary · p 0.399
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.089
- Wk 12: vs Monmouth · p 0.474
- Wk 14: vs Richmond · p 0.278
- Wk 15: at Idaho · p 0.698
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.921
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: at Hawai'iFBS · L 20-31