Towson
CAA · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#48
+3.9 pts · likely #26–73
Strength of schedule
45.1
#10 of 128
Strength of victory
53.8
#2
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 55.4%
Remaining SOS
45.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Monmouth | L 23-42 | +8.1 | −2.4 | 0.413 | 2 | −11.3 |
| 3 | at Morgan State | W 20-10 | −1.8 | +2.4 | 0.282 | 2 | +9.1 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 14-21 | −6.6 | −2.4 | 0.112 | 3 | −13.8 |
| 5 | at New Hampshire | W 54-51 OT | +16.0 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Delaware · p 0.640
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.197
- Wk 11: at Villanova · p 0.694
- Wk 12: vs Rhode Island · p 0.302
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarylandFBS · L 6-38