William & Mary
CAA · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#34
+7.2 pts · likely #16–60
Strength of schedule
28.4
#85 of 128
Strength of victory
24.5
#42
Record SOS
0.442
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
41.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | W 34-24 | +9.1 | +2.4 | 0.568 | 1 | +19.3 |
| 2 | vs Wofford | W 23-6 | −13.7 | −2.4 | 0.045 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 3 | at Charleston Southern | W 15-7 | −5.7 | +2.4 | 0.201 | 3 | +5.2 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 28-3 | −3.0 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Monmouth · p 0.474
- Wk 10: at UAlbany · p 0.685
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.216
- Wk 12: vs Richmond · p 0.278
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 6: at VirginiaFBS · L 13-27