Western Carolina
Southern · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#8
+13.6 pts · likely #5–36
Strength of schedule
32.1
#56 of 128
Strength of victory
32.1
#11
Record SOS
0.560
Opp. 59.3% · Opp. opp. 49.4%
Remaining SOS
25.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Samford | W 30-7 | +3.7 | −2.7 | 0.295 | 2 | +23.1 |
| 3 | at Eastern Kentucky | W 27-24 | +7.3 | +2.7 | 0.527 | 1 | +12.8 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 77-21 | −2.6 | −2.7 | 0.166 | 3 | +26.2 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 49-14 | −13.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Furman · p 0.516
- Wk 9: vs Mercer · p 0.456
- Wk 10: at Wofford · p 0.122
- Wk 11: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.088
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.112
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArkansasFBS · L 13-56