Samford
Southern · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#51
+2.9 pts · likely #29–81
Strength of schedule
30.4
#68 of 128
Strength of victory
12.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.424
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
34.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Western Carolina | L 7-30 | +12.3 | +2.7 | 0.659 | 1 | −6.6 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | L 24-47 | +4.6 | −2.7 | 0.316 | 2 | −17.4 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | W 42-28 | −8.0 | −2.7 | 0.091 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 6 | at Wofford | W 31-10 | −8.9 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Furman · p 0.516
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.112
- Wk 9: vs The Citadel · p 0.033
- Wk 11: at Mercer · p 0.601
- Wk 12: vs UT Martin · p 0.450
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs ShorterDII · W 69-14
- Wk 3: at AuburnFBS · L 13-45