East Tennessee State
Southern · 0-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#95
−7.5 pts · likely #64–116
Strength of schedule
45.0
#12 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.540
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 45.3%
Remaining SOS
34.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 3-63 | +7.3 | +2.7 | 0.528 | 1 | −21.5 |
| 5 | at Samford | L 28-42 | +1.7 | +2.7 | 0.377 | 2 | −8.4 |
| 6 | vs Mercer | L 6-24 | +9.6 | −2.7 | 0.444 | 2 | −10.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Wofford · p 0.063
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.538
- Wk 9: at Furman · p 0.658
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.057
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.697
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.033
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 2: vs Carson-NewmanDII · W 42-0