The Citadel
Southern · 0-5 vs FCS · 0-6 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−14.3 pts · likely #94–126
Strength of schedule
45.8
#11 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.548
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 44.5%
Remaining SOS
22.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Campbell | L 7-56 | +8.1 | −2.7 | 0.403 | 2 | −27.7 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | L 3-48 | +6.2 | +2.7 | 0.498 | 2 | −24.0 |
| 4 | at South Carolina State | L 10-31 | −10.4 | +2.7 | 0.129 | 3 | −24.3 |
| 5 | vs Western Carolina | L 14-49 | +12.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs VMI · p 0.057
- Wk 9: at Samford · p 0.384
- Wk 10: vs Mercer · p 0.456
- Wk 11: vs Wofford · p 0.063
- Wk 12: at East Tennessee State · p 0.162
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia SouthernFBS · L 0-34