Furman
Southern · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#15
+12.0 pts · likely #6–44
Strength of schedule
21.6
#107 of 128
Strength of victory
21.6
#32
Record SOS
0.380
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
35.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 45-10 | −9.6 | −2.7 | 0.074 | 4 | +21.1 |
| 3 | at Kennesaw State | W 31-28 | −5.3 | +2.7 | 0.216 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | W 38-14 | +13.6 | −2.7 | 0.553 | 1 | +31.6 |
| 6 | vs The Citadel | W 28-14 | −18.4 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Samford · p 0.384
- Wk 8: at Western Carolina · p 0.697
- Wk 9: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.088
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.538
- Wk 11: vs VMI · p 0.057
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.122
- Wk 14: vs Chattanooga · p 0.393
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.597
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at South CarolinaFBS · L 21-47