South Dakota
MVFC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 6.8% of the time
Power
#10
+13.1 pts · likely #5–39
Strength of schedule
31.3
#61 of 128
Strength of victory
31.3
#13
Record SOS
0.759
Opp. 85.4% · Opp. opp. 56.9%
Remaining SOS
50.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 24-0 | −4.3 | −2.7 | 0.140 | 3 | +17.0 |
| 3 | vs Lamar | W 35-6 | −8.2 | −2.7 | 0.088 | 4 | +17.4 |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | W 24-19 | +25.3 | +2.7 | 0.902 | 1 | +29.2 |
| 6 | vs Murray State | W 38-7 | −5.4 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Youngstown State · p 0.530
- Wk 8: at Indiana State · p 0.139
- Wk 9: vs South Dakota State · p 0.811
- Wk 10: at Southern Illinois · p 0.613
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota · p 0.540
- Wk 12: at Western Illinois · p 0.098
- Wk 14: vs Sacramento State · p 0.529
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota State · p 0.763
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 10-35