North Dakota State
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 28% of the time
Power
#3
+21.5 pts · likely #1–11
Strength of schedule
42.4
#18 of 128
Strength of victory
41.8
#5
Record SOS
0.657
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 67.3%
Remaining SOS
49.0
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Eastern Washington | W 35-10 | +4.5 | 0.0 | 0.380 | 2 | +27.8 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 44-7 | −3.2 | −2.7 | 0.156 | 3 | +28.3 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | W 49-31 | +14.6 | −2.7 | 0.579 | 1 | +27.9 |
| 5 | vs South Dakota | L 19-24 | +9.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at North Dakota · p 0.680
- Wk 8: vs Western Illinois · p 0.048
- Wk 9: vs Murray State · p 0.097
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.894
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.468
- Wk 12: at Northern Iowa · p 0.487
- Wk 13: vs Drake · p 0.076
- Wk 14: at Montana State · p 0.864
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.691
- Wk 16: at Montana · p 0.597