Missouri State
MVFC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#45
+4.5 pts · likely #24–72
Strength of schedule
52.3
#5 of 128
Strength of victory
20.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.686
Opp. 72.9% · Opp. opp. 59.9%
Remaining SOS
41.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at UT Martin | L 31-38 | +9.9 | +2.7 | 0.597 | 1 | +4.9 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 59-14 | −0.3 | −2.7 | 0.208 | 3 | +28.1 |
| 5 | at Southern Illinois | L 20-33 | +9.3 | +2.7 | 0.583 | 1 | −1.2 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota State | L 10-38 | +19.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Western Illinois · p 0.098
- Wk 8: vs Murray State · p 0.097
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.671
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.369
- Wk 11: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.345
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.894
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 17-48