Penn
Ivy · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#56
+2.4 pts · likely #31–81
Strength of schedule
16.5
#117 of 128
Strength of victory
15.2
#40
Record SOS
0.466
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 59.7%
Remaining SOS
37.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Colgate | W 20-6 | −4.6 | +2.7 | 0.230 | 3 | +10.5 |
| 4 | at Bucknell | W 37-21 | −12.5 | +2.7 | 0.100 | 3 | +5.3 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 20-23 OT | −0.4 | −2.7 | 0.206 | 3 | −4.6 |
| 6 | vs Georgetown | W 42-39 OT | −5.3 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Columbia · p 0.400
- Wk 8: at Yale · p 0.480
- Wk 9: vs Brown · p 0.268
- Wk 10: vs Cornell · p 0.139
- Wk 11: at Harvard · p 0.659
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.278