Dartmouth
Ivy · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#61
+1.1 pts · likely #33–86
Strength of schedule
35.2
#42 of 128
Strength of victory
26.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 49.0%
Remaining SOS
32.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dartmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at New Hampshire | L 7-24 | +9.2 | +2.7 | 0.579 | 1 | −4.6 |
| 4 | vs Lehigh | W 34-17 | −9.6 | −2.7 | 0.074 | 4 | +4.3 |
| 5 | at Penn | W 23-20 OT | +4.3 | +2.7 | 0.446 | 2 | +8.1 |
| 6 | vs Yale | L 24-31 | +4.3 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Colgate · p 0.196
- Wk 8: vs Columbia · p 0.267
- Wk 9: at Harvard · p 0.659
- Wk 10: vs Princeton · p 0.278
- Wk 11: vs Cornell · p 0.139
- Wk 12: at Brown · p 0.400