Yale
Ivy · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#40
+5.9 pts · likely #19–65
Strength of schedule
31.2
#62 of 128
Strength of victory
29.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 52.1% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
32.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Holy Cross | L 24-49 | +13.7 | −2.7 | 0.554 | 1 | −11.3 |
| 4 | vs Cornell | L 21-23 | −7.4 | −2.7 | 0.097 | 4 | −9.1 |
| 5 | vs Morgan State | W 45-3 | −0.7 | −2.7 | 0.200 | 3 | +26.3 |
| 6 | at Dartmouth | W 31-24 | +2.4 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.071
- Wk 8: vs Penn · p 0.270
- Wk 9: vs Columbia · p 0.267
- Wk 10: at Brown · p 0.400
- Wk 11: at Princeton · p 0.413
- Wk 12: vs Harvard · p 0.517