Bucknell
Patriot · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#119
−13.4 pts · likely #89–125
Strength of schedule
35.2
#41 of 128
Strength of victory
7.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.673
Opp. 77.1% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
19.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs VMI | W 21-13 | −10.1 | −2.7 | 0.070 | 4 | −6.5 |
| 4 | vs Penn | L 21-37 | +2.0 | −2.7 | 0.256 | 2 | −16.3 |
| 5 | at Lafayette | L 22-56 | +4.5 | +2.7 | 0.452 | 2 | −24.8 |
| 6 | vs Holy Cross | L 27-55 | +16.6 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Cornell · p 0.237
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.070
- Wk 9: at Colgate · p 0.196
- Wk 10: at Fordham · p 0.444
- Wk 11: vs Georgetown · p 0.140
- Wk 12: at Marist · p 0.062
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at James MadisonFBS · L 3-38