Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only
2023 Week 2 · through Saturday, September 9
Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.
How this week's numbers compare
Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.
Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 67 FCS games · run 3ce389ae2dfb
| # | Team | vs FCS | All games | SOR | Power | SOS | SOS rank | SOV | Record SOS | Remaining SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 90% | −1.8 | 47.0 | 1 | 40.3 | 0.778 | 31.1 | |
| 1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 80% | +12.3 | 29.5 | 2 | 26.4 | 0.222 | 14.5 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 83% | +19.8 | 17.3 | small sample | 17.3 | 0.333 | 23.6 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 64% | +19.4 | 20.0 | small sample | 20.0 | — | 43.4 | |
| — | 1-0 | 2-0 | 35% | +19.1 | 65.2 | small sample | 65.2 | 0.667 | 47.0 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 78% | +19.0 | 22.5 | small sample | 22.5 | 0.333 | 34.3 | |
| — | 1-1 | 1-1 | 93% | +17.4 | 45.1 | small sample | 9.2 | 0.250 | 42.0 | |
| — | 1-0 | 2-0 | 41% | +16.3 | 59.0 | small sample | 59.0 | — | 35.5 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 82% | +16.2 | 18.0 | small sample | 18.0 | — | 33.6 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 84% | +15.5 | 15.5 | small sample | 15.5 | — | 32.6 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 29% | +14.1 | 40.1 | small sample | 40.1 | 1.000 | 30.6 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 75% | +14.0 | 13.4 | small sample | 13.4 | 0.333 | 44.7 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 65% | +14.0 | 19.3 | small sample | 19.3 | 0.250 | 49.6 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 75% | +13.7 | 24.7 | small sample | 24.7 | — | 36.0 | |
| — | 1-0 | 2-0 | 86% | +12.9 | 13.9 | small sample | 13.9 | — | 41.3 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 84% | +12.8 | 16.1 | small sample | 16.1 | — | 34.5 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 85% | +12.5 | 14.9 | small sample | 14.9 | 0.000 | 26.6 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 28% | +12.1 | 71.7 | small sample | 71.7 | 0.667 | 21.2 | |
| — | 1-0 | 2-0 | 66% | +11.2 | 33.8 | small sample | 33.8 | — | 42.1 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-1 | 74% | +11.1 | 13.3 | small sample | 13.3 | 0.667 | 36.8 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 72% | +11.0 | 14.8 | small sample | 14.8 | — | 41.7 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 56% | +10.9 | 23.1 | small sample | 23.1 | 0.667 | 38.9 | |
| — | 1-0 | 2-0 | 65% | +10.4 | 34.9 | small sample | 34.9 | — | 28.2 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 90% | +10.1 | 10.5 | small sample | 10.5 | — | 36.1 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 68% | +9.9 | 17.2 | small sample | 17.2 | 0.917 | 44.5 | |
| — | 1-1 | 1-1 | 88% | +9.7 | 36.9 | small sample | 25.3 | 0.833 | 38.8 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-2 | — | +9.5 | — | — | — | — | 23.6 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-0 | — | +9.1 | — | — | — | — | 27.5 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 74% | +8.4 | 13.9 | small sample | 13.9 | — | 36.6 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 57% | +8.0 | 43.1 | small sample | 43.1 | — | 44.1 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 54% | +7.9 | 45.9 | small sample | 45.9 | — | 31.1 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-0 | — | +7.8 | — | — | — | — | 30.4 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 92% | +7.5 | 7.8 | small sample | 7.8 | — | 34.7 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 59% | +7.1 | 23.1 | small sample | 23.1 | 0.667 | 39.7 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 65% | +7.0 | 34.7 | small sample | 34.7 | — | 36.1 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | +6.5 | 44.4 | small sample | — | — | 44.8 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 58% | +6.5 | 42.2 | small sample | 42.2 | — | 29.3 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 81% | +6.2 | 19.1 | small sample | 19.1 | — | 31.2 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | +5.7 | 14.1 | small sample | — | — | 34.6 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 71% | +5.6 | 28.7 | small sample | 28.7 | — | 30.4 | |
| — | 0-0 | 1-1 | — | +5.6 | — | — | — | — | 43.8 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | +5.4 | 51.1 | small sample | — | — | 41.5 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 72% | +5.1 | 28.1 | small sample | 28.1 | — | 43.4 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-0 | — | +4.3 | — | — | — | — | 32.9 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-0 | — | +4.3 | — | — | — | — | 28.9 | |
| — | 1-1 | 2-1 | 99% | +3.8 | 20.1 | small sample | 3.6 | — | 21.0 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-2 | — | +3.4 | — | — | — | — | 37.4 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | +2.6 | 46.1 | small sample | — | — | 42.6 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-2 | — | +2.6 | — | — | — | — | 38.3 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | +2.5 | 34.1 | small sample | — | — | 31.7 | |
| — | 1-1 | 1-1 | 96% | +2.4 | 20.5 | small sample | 21.1 | 0.167 | 38.1 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-0 | — | +2.1 | — | — | — | — | 29.2 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 35% | +2.1 | 64.9 | small sample | 64.9 | — | 28.8 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-0 | — | +1.3 | — | — | — | — | 32.9 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 76% | +1.2 | 23.7 | small sample | 23.7 | — | 28.1 | |
| — | 0-0 | 1-1 | — | +0.7 | — | — | — | — | 27.2 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | +0.5 | 5.9 | small sample | — | — | 19.8 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 88% | +0.4 | 11.9 | small sample | 11.9 | — | 34.0 | |
| — | 0-0 | 1-1 | — | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | 35.4 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 77% | +0.2 | 22.6 | small sample | 22.6 | 0.167 | 27.7 | |
| — | 0-2 | 0-2 | 100% | +0.1 | 40.5 | small sample | — | 0.333 | 19.3 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | −0.2 | 71.1 | small sample | — | 0.667 | 10.9 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −0.2 | 47.8 | small sample | — | — | 29.3 | |
| — | 2-0 | 2-0 | 84% | −0.3 | 8.1 | small sample | 8.1 | 0.333 | 27.1 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | −0.8 | 37.6 | small sample | — | 0.000 | 30.9 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −0.9 | 62.1 | small sample | — | — | 44.1 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 92% | −1.6 | 8.5 | small sample | 8.5 | — | 25.8 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −1.6 | 40.8 | small sample | — | — | 38.2 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −1.8 | 11.0 | small sample | — | 0.333 | 28.8 | |
| — | 0-0 | 1-1 | — | −2.7 | — | — | — | — | 25.3 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −3.2 | 72.7 | small sample | — | 1.000 | 30.9 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | −3.4 | 29.9 | small sample | — | — | 14.7 | |
| — | 1-1 | 1-1 | 88% | −3.8 | 34.5 | small sample | 37.6 | 0.750 | 27.1 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 83% | −3.8 | 16.9 | small sample | 16.9 | — | 47.8 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −4.0 | 74.7 | small sample | — | — | 42.9 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 83% | −4.1 | 16.9 | small sample | 16.9 | 0.333 | 35.2 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −4.3 | 10.7 | small sample | — | — | 10.4 | |
| — | 0-0 | 1-1 | — | −4.3 | — | — | — | — | 32.8 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −4.5 | 25.7 | small sample | — | — | 45.7 | |
| — | 0-2 | 0-2 | 100% | −4.5 | 35.3 | small sample | — | 0.083 | 15.2 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-0 | — | −4.7 | — | — | — | — | 29.6 | |
| — | 0-0 | 1-1 | — | −4.8 | — | — | — | — | 27.5 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −5.0 | 75.2 | small sample | — | — | 39.4 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-0 | — | −5.2 | — | — | — | — | 33.8 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-2 | — | −5.8 | — | — | — | — | 29.0 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −6.1 | 59.8 | small sample | — | 0.667 | 38.5 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 99% | −6.3 | 1.3 | small sample | 1.3 | — | 46.6 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −6.4 | 10.6 | small sample | — | — | 17.9 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −6.4 | 56.0 | small sample | — | 1.000 | 27.5 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −6.5 | 63.9 | small sample | — | — | 27.2 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −6.5 | 32.5 | small sample | — | — | 15.8 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-2 | — | −7.1 | — | — | — | — | 36.9 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 75% | −7.2 | 24.9 | small sample | 24.9 | — | 27.0 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −7.3 | 33.7 | small sample | — | — | 22.6 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 91% | −7.4 | 9.3 | small sample | 9.3 | — | 25.0 | |
| — | 1-1 | 1-1 | 99% | −7.6 | 12.1 | small sample | 19.0 | — | 41.6 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −7.6 | 15.0 | small sample | — | — | 13.2 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −7.7 | 33.0 | small sample | — | 0.833 | 28.6 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | −7.8 | 62.4 | small sample | — | — | 25.2 | |
| — | 0-2 | 0-2 | 100% | −8.4 | 62.1 | small sample | — | 0.667 | 31.2 | |
| — | 0-0 | 1-1 | — | −8.4 | — | — | — | — | 30.5 | |
| — | 1-0 | 1-1 | 58% | −8.4 | 42.1 | small sample | 42.1 | — | 36.3 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-2 | — | −8.5 | — | — | — | — | 28.9 | |
| — | 0-0 | 2-0 | — | −8.7 | — | — | — | — | 18.2 | |
| — | 1-1 | 1-1 | 93% | −8.8 | 28.0 | small sample | 18.2 | — | 21.6 | |
| — | 0-2 | 0-2 | 100% | −8.8 | 20.1 | small sample | — | 0.667 | 20.3 | |
| — | 1-1 | 1-1 | 97% | −9.3 | 17.4 | small sample | 20.0 | — | 36.5 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-1 | — | −9.3 | — | — | — | — | 29.6 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −9.4 | 41.1 | small sample | — | — | 40.0 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | −9.5 | 6.4 | small sample | — | — | 16.7 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-3 | 100% | −9.5 | 52.1 | small sample | — | 0.333 | 22.9 | |
| — | 0-0 | 0-2 | — | −9.6 | — | — | — | — | 45.8 | |
| — | 1-1 | 1-1 | 92% | −9.6 | 29.0 | small sample | 23.0 | 0.500 | 30.0 | |
| — | 0-2 | 0-2 | 100% | −9.7 | 49.8 | small sample | — | — | 42.1 | |
| — | 0-2 | 0-2 | 100% | −9.8 | 60.2 | small sample | — | 0.333 | 35.8 | |
| — | 0-2 | 0-2 | 100% | −10.4 | 63.9 | small sample | — | 0.750 | 40.3 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | −11.1 | 43.0 | small sample | — | — | 12.4 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −11.2 | 49.2 | small sample | — | — | 29.5 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −11.4 | 23.5 | small sample | — | — | 23.0 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −11.6 | 29.1 | small sample | — | 0.333 | 34.9 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −11.8 | 46.8 | small sample | — | — | 14.1 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −11.9 | 10.9 | small sample | — | — | 40.3 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −12.2 | 53.6 | small sample | — | — | 25.0 | |
| — | 0-0 | 1-1 | — | −12.3 | — | — | — | — | 30.5 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | −13.0 | 63.3 | small sample | — | 0.833 | 17.0 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-2 | 100% | −17.6 | 37.1 | small sample | — | — | 16.4 | |
| — | 0-1 | 0-1 | 100% | −18.6 | 21.8 | small sample | — | 0.667 | 13.5 | |
| — | 0-1 | 1-1 | 100% | −25.5 | 12.4 | small sample | — | — | 14.3 |