Montana State
Big Sky · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#5
+17.4 pts · likely #2–29
Strength of schedule
45.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
9.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.250
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
42.0
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 63-20 | −7.9 | −2.6 | 0.092 | 4 | +22.6 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 16-20 | +19.3 | +2.6 | 0.810 | 1 | +17.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs Stetson · p 0.084
- Wk 4: at Weber State · p 0.751
- Wk 5: vs Portland State · p 0.102
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.149
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.697
- Wk 9: at Idaho · p 0.674
- Wk 10: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.198
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.144
- Wk 12: at Montana · p 0.696
- Wk 14: vs North Dakota State · p 0.701