Villanova
CAA · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 11% of the time
Power
#6
+16.1 pts · likely #3–20
Strength of schedule
33.4
#56 of 128
Strength of victory
29.5
#28
Record SOS
0.518
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 58.7%
Remaining SOS
75.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lehigh | W 38-10 | −6.6 | +2.7 | 0.189 | 3 | +23.4 |
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 42-19 | −2.1 | −2.7 | 0.175 | 3 | +18.1 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 35-9 | +6.7 | −2.7 | 0.367 | 2 | +28.4 |
| 5 | at UAlbany | L 10-31 | +11.6 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Delaware · p 0.809
- Wk 14: vs Youngstown State · p 0.492
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.956
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UCFFBS · L 14-48