Towson
CAA · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#61
+1.0 pts · likely #39–82
Strength of schedule
47.9
#5 of 128
Strength of victory
45.3
#2
Record SOS
0.568
Opp. 59.5% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
33.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Monmouth | L 23-42 | +8.1 | −2.7 | 0.404 | 2 | −12.9 |
| 3 | at Morgan State | W 20-10 | −2.2 | +2.7 | 0.281 | 2 | +9.0 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 14-21 | −4.6 | −2.7 | 0.135 | 3 | −13.4 |
| 5 | at New Hampshire | W 54-51 OT | +14.2 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Rhode Island · p 0.336
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarylandFBS · L 6-38