William & Mary
CAA · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 69% of the time
Power
#35
+7.5 pts · likely #16–55
Strength of schedule
32.1
#61 of 128
Strength of victory
24.9
#48
Record SOS
0.482
Opp. 45.7% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
37.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | W 34-24 | +2.7 | +2.7 | 0.405 | 2 | +13.5 |
| 2 | vs Wofford | W 23-6 | −10.9 | −2.7 | 0.062 | 4 | +5.1 |
| 3 | at Charleston Southern | W 15-7 | −7.1 | +2.7 | 0.181 | 3 | +4.2 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 28-3 | −3.8 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Richmond · p 0.377
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 6: at VirginiaFBS · L 13-27