Colgate
Patriot · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#71
−2.2 pts · likely #53–95
Strength of schedule
37.5
#35 of 128
Strength of victory
30.7
#23
Record SOS
0.560
Opp. 58.2% · Opp. opp. 51.5%
Remaining SOS
30.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Villanova | L 19-42 | +16.7 | +2.7 | 0.760 | 1 | −4.2 |
| 3 | vs Penn | L 6-20 | +5.6 | −2.7 | 0.339 | 2 | −10.6 |
| 4 | at Holy Cross | L 7-47 | +12.5 | +2.7 | 0.663 | 1 | −19.4 |
| 5 | at Cornell | W 35-25 | −2.2 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Fordham · p 0.308
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-65