Lafayette
Patriot · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#39
+6.3 pts · likely #17–62
Strength of schedule
31.1
#66 of 128
Strength of victory
33.1
#18
Record SOS
0.501
Opp. 48.7% · Opp. opp. 52.9%
Remaining SOS
49.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Sacred Heart | W 19-14 | −13.4 | +2.7 | 0.090 | 4 | −3.9 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | W 24-3 | −0.3 | −2.7 | 0.209 | 3 | +16.4 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | W 28-20 | +10.3 | −2.7 | 0.464 | 2 | +14.1 |
| 5 | vs Bucknell | W 56-22 | −5.5 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Lehigh · p 0.178
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.809
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at DukeFBS · L 7-42