Wagner
NEC · 0-4 vs FCS · 0-6 overall
Strength of record
#114
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−11.2 pts · likely #87–127
Strength of schedule
40.4
#16 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.586
Opp. 71.3% · Opp. opp. 33.4%
Remaining SOS
17.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Fordham | L 31-48 | +6.4 | −1.7 | 0.386 | 2 | −12.2 |
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | L 7-27 | +9.4 | −1.7 | 0.467 | 2 | −11.9 |
| 6 | at Columbia | L 7-28 | +4.6 | +1.7 | 0.428 | 2 | −14.8 |
| 7 | at Merrimack | L 17-54 | +1.1 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Long Island · p 0.114
- Wk 9: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.108
- Wk 10: at Stonehill · p 0.223
- Wk 11: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.188
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.215
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at RutgersFBS · L 7-66
- Wk 5: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-59