Saint Francis
NEC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 70% of the time
Power
#17
+9.8 pts · likely #6–46
Strength of schedule
22.8
#107 of 130
Strength of victory
13.8
#55
Record SOS
0.312
Opp. 20.0% · Opp. opp. 53.5%
Remaining SOS
29.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Richmond | L 21-31 | +10.5 | +1.7 | 0.588 | 1 | +2.6 |
| 3 | at Wagner | W 27-7 | −11.1 | +1.7 | 0.106 | 3 | +10.5 |
| 4 | at Norfolk State | W 45-26 | −10.3 | +1.7 | 0.117 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 5 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 39-13 | −10.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Stonehill · p 0.160
- Wk 9: at Sacred Heart · p 0.257
- Wk 10: at Georgetown · p 0.104
- Wk 11: vs Duquesne · p 0.153
- Wk 12: at Merrimack · p 0.413
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.651
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AkronFBS · L 23-30