Norfolk State
MEAC · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#118
−9.9 pts · likely #86–127
Strength of schedule
23.2
#104 of 130
Strength of victory
20.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.445
Opp. 50.3% · Opp. opp. 32.8%
Remaining SOS
27.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Hampton | L 7-17 | −4.7 | −1.7 | 0.148 | 3 | −15.3 |
| 4 | vs Saint Francis | L 26-45 | +9.5 | −1.7 | 0.467 | 2 | −10.9 |
| 5 | at Sacred Heart | L 14-31 | −3.5 | +1.7 | 0.232 | 3 | −16.9 |
| 6 | at Morgan State | W 24-21 | −5.1 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Howard · p 0.142
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.258
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.412
- Wk 12: at South Carolina State · p 0.285
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 3-55
- Wk 2: at James MadisonFBS · L 7-63