Morgan State
MEAC · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#103
−7.2 pts · likely #68–122
Strength of schedule
22.2
#110 of 130
Strength of victory
24.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 42.9% · Opp. opp. 50.5%
Remaining SOS
27.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Towson | L 21-29 | −5.6 | +1.7 | 0.192 | 3 | −11.2 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-9 | +0.5 | −1.7 | 0.244 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 6 | vs Norfolk State | L 21-24 | −11.9 | −1.7 | 0.063 | 4 | −14.6 |
| 7 | at North Carolina Central | L 20-59 | +3.2 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Delaware · p 0.651
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.212
- Wk 10: at Stony Brook · p 0.119
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.228
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.142
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia SouthernFBS · L 7-59
- Wk 5: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-10