Towson
CAA · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#75
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#90
−4.9 pts · likely #60–115
Strength of schedule
35.0
#32 of 130
Strength of victory
11.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 53.7% · Opp. opp. 53.2%
Remaining SOS
33.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −11.2 | +1.7 | 0.105 | 3 | −7.7 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | −5.9 | −1.7 | 0.130 | 3 | −0.9 |
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | L 14-37 | +3.3 | −1.7 | 0.308 | 2 | −19.4 |
| 5 | at Delaware | L 10-24 | +14.0 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs William & Mary · p 0.505
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.470
- Wk 10: vs Villanova · p 0.427
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.119
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.163
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65