Stephen F. Austin
WAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#50
+2.9 pts · likely #24–79
Strength of schedule
37.9
#23 of 130
Strength of victory
35.6
#4
Record SOS
0.709
Opp. 88.3% · Opp. opp. 35.9%
Remaining SOS
31.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Jacksonville State | L 17-42 | +9.0 | 0.0 | 0.502 | 1 | −14.5 |
| 1 | at Alcorn State | W 31-27 | +4.5 | +1.7 | 0.425 | 2 | +9.3 |
| 5 | vs (N) Sam Houston | L 16-17 | +2.2 | 0.0 | 0.323 | 2 | +1.8 |
| 6 | vs Abilene Christian | W 41-38 | +4.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Southern Utah · p 0.390
- Wk 9: vs Utah Tech · p 0.092
- Wk 11: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.382
- Wk 12: at Abilene Christian · p 0.402
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Louisiana TechFBS · L 17-52
- Wk 4: vs WarnerNon-NCAA · W 98-0