Alcorn State
SWAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#45
+3.6 pts · likely #20–78
Strength of schedule
22.0
#112 of 130
Strength of victory
11.0
#61
Record SOS
0.367
Opp. 23.3% · Opp. opp. 63.3%
Remaining SOS
31.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 27-31 | +1.4 | −1.7 | 0.264 | 2 | −2.8 |
| 3 | at McNeese | W 30-19 | −8.0 | +1.7 | 0.150 | 3 | +4.4 |
| 4 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 38-21 | −8.7 | −1.7 | 0.094 | 4 | +6.6 |
| 6 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 30-7 | −13.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Texas Southern · p 0.279
- Wk 9: at Grambling State · p 0.174
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.347
- Wk 11: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.084
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.685
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TulaneFBS · L 0-52