Southern
SWAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 71% of the time
Power
#25
+7.6 pts · likely #8–59
Strength of schedule
27.0
#89 of 130
Strength of victory
29.7
#14
Record SOS
0.434
Opp. 42.1% · Opp. opp. 46.2%
Remaining SOS
40.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs (N) Texas Southern | L 0-24 | −3.9 | 0.0 | 0.190 | 3 | −22.0 |
| 5 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 59-3 | −5.8 | −1.7 | 0.131 | 3 | +24.6 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | W 45-13 | +5.8 | +1.7 | 0.459 | 2 | +34.5 |
| 7 | vs Alcorn State | W 21-17 | +3.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Jackson State · p 0.762
- Wk 10: at Florida A&M · p 0.327
- Wk 11: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.045
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.146
- Wk 14: at Jackson State · p 0.762
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Florida Memorial UniversityNon-NCAA · W 86-0
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 17-65