Jacksonville State
ASUN · 6-0 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#14
+10.5 pts · likely #6–41
Strength of schedule
20.1
#117 of 130
Strength of victory
20.1
#41
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 37.5% · Opp. opp. 65.6%
Remaining SOS
43.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Jacksonville State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Stephen F. Austin | W 42-17 | +5.6 | 0.0 | 0.408 | 2 | +27.9 |
| 1 | vs Davidson | W 35-17 | +3.1 | −1.7 | 0.304 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 2 | at Murray State | W 34-3 | −15.3 | +1.7 | 0.062 | 4 | +16.7 |
| 4 | at Nicholls State | W 52-21 | −7.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.477
- Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.512
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.293
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.473
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at TulsaFBS · L 17-54