South Dakota
MVFC · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#71
−1.7 pts · likely #45–102
Strength of schedule
46.4
#5 of 130
Strength of victory
12.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.632
Opp. 72.0% · Opp. opp. 45.5%
Remaining SOS
36.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Montana | L 7-24 | +12.7 | +1.7 | 0.644 | 1 | −3.7 |
| 3 | vs Cal Poly | W 38-21 | −6.3 | −1.7 | 0.125 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota State | L 17-34 | +11.0 | −1.7 | 0.510 | 1 | −7.9 |
| 6 | at South Dakota State | L 3-28 | +10.8 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.377
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.421
- Wk 10: vs Missouri State · p 0.246
- Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.395
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.370
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 0-34