Montana
Big Sky · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 58% of the time
Power
#10
+11.6 pts · likely #4–37
Strength of schedule
23.1
#105 of 130
Strength of victory
19.4
#42
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 47.5% · Opp. opp. 53.9%
Remaining SOS
49.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northwestern State | W 47-0 | −4.7 | −1.7 | 0.148 | 3 | +27.8 |
| 2 | vs South Dakota | W 24-7 | −1.0 | −1.7 | 0.213 | 3 | +13.6 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | W 49-14 | +0.7 | +1.7 | 0.328 | 2 | +33.7 |
| 4 | vs Portland State | W 53-16 | −5.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.720
- Wk 9: at Weber State · p 0.685
- Wk 10: vs Cal Poly · p 0.104
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.236
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.661
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.466
- Wk 14: at North Dakota State · p 0.624