Marist
Pioneer · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#111
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−13.7 pts · likely #104–129
Strength of schedule
14.2
#127 of 130
Strength of victory
15.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.395
Opp. 36.1% · Opp. opp. 46.2%
Remaining SOS
13.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Georgetown | L 12-43 | −15.8 | −1.7 | 0.036 | 4 | −44.0 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | L 3-38 | +2.2 | −1.7 | 0.282 | 2 | −32.1 |
| 4 | at Drake | W 30-25 | −12.9 | +1.7 | 0.086 | 4 | −6.2 |
| 5 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | L 24-38 | −3.8 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Butler · p 0.225
- Wk 9: vs Presbyterian · p 0.021
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.123
- Wk 11: vs Valparaiso · p 0.171
- Wk 12: at Bucknell · p 0.113