Dayton
Pioneer · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#112
−8.8 pts · likely #79–124
Strength of schedule
13.3
#129 of 130
Strength of victory
6.3
#63
Record SOS
0.330
Opp. 24.7% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
14.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Robert Morris | W 22-20 | −16.1 | +1.7 | 0.056 | 4 | −11.4 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 16-49 | +1.2 | +1.7 | 0.340 | 2 | −27.8 |
| 5 | vs Drake | W 27-14 | −13.0 | −1.7 | 0.054 | 4 | −1.6 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 0-31 | −8.9 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Stetson · p 0.086
- Wk 9: vs Valparaiso · p 0.171
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.035
- Wk 11: vs Morehead State · p 0.082
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.357
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky StateDII · W 46-3