Lafayette
Patriot · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#85
−4.0 pts · likely #52–111
Strength of schedule
35.6
#30 of 130
Strength of victory
16.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.626
Opp. 71.0% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
30.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacred Heart | W 6-0 | −1.3 | −1.7 | 0.207 | 3 | +2.7 |
| 3 | vs William & Mary | L 7-34 | +8.3 | −1.7 | 0.435 | 2 | −18.8 |
| 4 | at Penn | L 0-12 | +9.6 | +1.7 | 0.563 | 1 | −1.3 |
| 5 | at Bucknell | W 24-14 | −9.6 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Holy Cross · p 0.624
- Wk 9: vs Georgetown · p 0.068
- Wk 10: at Colgate · p 0.244
- Wk 11: at Fordham · p 0.481
- Wk 12: vs Lehigh · p 0.095
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TempleFBS · L 14-30