Penn
Ivy · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#21
+9.0 pts · likely #7–53
Strength of schedule
24.0
#101 of 130
Strength of victory
24.0
#29
Record SOS
0.492
Opp. 40.7% · Opp. opp. 66.4%
Remaining SOS
32.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Colgate | W 25-14 | −3.5 | −1.7 | 0.167 | 3 | +6.3 |
| 4 | vs Lafayette | W 12-0 | −4.6 | −1.7 | 0.150 | 3 | +6.3 |
| 5 | at Dartmouth | W 23-17 OT | +0.9 | +1.7 | 0.332 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 6 | at Georgetown | W 59-28 | −9.3 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Yale · p 0.317
- Wk 9: at Brown · p 0.205
- Wk 10: at Cornell · p 0.207
- Wk 11: vs Harvard · p 0.333
- Wk 12: at Princeton · p 0.580