William & Mary
CAA · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 36% of the time
Power
#16
+9.8 pts · likely #6–45
Strength of schedule
37.9
#24 of 130
Strength of victory
37.0
#2
Record SOS
0.664
Opp. 66.0% · Opp. opp. 67.2%
Remaining SOS
40.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Campbell | W 37-21 | +10.6 | −1.7 | 0.498 | 2 | +22.5 |
| 3 | at Lafayette | W 34-7 | −1.5 | +1.7 | 0.276 | 2 | +24.7 |
| 4 | vs Elon | L 31-35 | +7.4 | −1.7 | 0.413 | 2 | +2.2 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | W 27-10 | −10.5 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Towson · p 0.207
- Wk 9: vs Rhode Island · p 0.400
- Wk 10: at Hampton · p 0.227
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.427
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.618
- Wk 14: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.288
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.661
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 41-24