Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-6 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#37
+5.1 pts · likely #21–60
Strength of schedule
45.5
#3 of 130
Strength of victory
33.1
#10
Record SOS
0.575
Opp. 59.8% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 29-64 | +17.3 | +2.0 | 0.758 | 1 | −15.4 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 31-34 | +13.0 | −2.0 | 0.553 | 1 | +6.8 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | W 34-17 | +8.5 | −2.0 | 0.433 | 2 | +20.7 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 19-14 | +2.2 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · W 31-24