Incarnate Word
Southland · 10-1 vs FCS · 12-1 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 5.8% of the time
Power
#3
+17.5 pts · likely #1–13
Strength of schedule
32.2
#63 of 130
Strength of victory
29.6
#22
Record SOS
0.509
Opp. 51.5% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
77.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | W 64-29 | +8.5 | −2.0 | 0.432 | 2 | +37.9 |
| 3 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-14 | +1.6 | +2.0 | 0.357 | 2 | +20.2 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 35-41 | +10.2 | +2.0 | 0.586 | 1 | +6.3 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 48-20 | −5.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.772
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 55-41
- Wk 8: vs FaulknerNon-NCAA · W 70-0