Northern Iowa
MVFC · 6-4 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#18
+10.3 pts · likely #8–38
Strength of schedule
36.7
#31 of 130
Strength of victory
26.2
#35
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 56.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 27-29 | +6.8 | +2.0 | 0.497 | 2 | +6.1 |
| 3 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-37 | +15.6 | −2.0 | 0.623 | 1 | −3.7 |
| 4 | at Western Illinois | W 52-17 | −9.5 | +2.0 | 0.132 | 3 | +26.1 |
| 5 | vs Indiana State | W 20-14 | −6.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 17-48