Montana State
Big Sky · 12-0 vs FCS · 12-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 0.3% of the time
Power
#2
+18.0 pts · likely #1–11
Strength of schedule
33.5
#51 of 130
Strength of victory
33.5
#9
Record SOS
0.505
Opp. 49.1% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
81.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
5-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −6.2 | −2.0 | 0.121 | 3 | +15.9 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −15.9 | −2.0 | 0.034 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | −5.5 | +2.0 | 0.199 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | W 41-24 | +17.9 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.816
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68