William & Mary
CAA · 10-2 vs FCS · 11-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 6.5% of the time
Power
#13
+11.9 pts · likely #6–29
Strength of schedule
40.2
#16 of 130
Strength of victory
36.5
#5
Record SOS
0.602
Opp. 63.1% · Opp. opp. 54.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Campbell | W 37-21 | +6.9 | −2.0 | 0.391 | 2 | +19.3 |
| 3 | at Lafayette | W 34-7 | −5.8 | +2.0 | 0.194 | 3 | +22.7 |
| 4 | vs Elon | L 31-35 | +9.2 | −2.0 | 0.452 | 2 | +1.7 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | W 27-10 | −8.9 | +2.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 41-24