Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-7 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#71
−1.0 pts · likely #43–94
Strength of schedule
38.1
#28 of 130
Strength of victory
18.8
#64
Record SOS
0.511
Opp. 50.9% · Opp. opp. 51.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Sam Houston | W 10-3 | +2.5 | +2.0 | 0.382 | 2 | +9.6 |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | L 24-27 | +7.4 | −2.0 | 0.404 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 10-27 | +12.8 | −2.0 | 0.549 | 1 | −7.5 |
| 5 | at Portland State | L 27-35 | −9.9 | +2.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 3-40