Montana State
Big Sky · 10-0 vs FCS · 10-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 1.9% of the time
Power
#3
+15.0 pts · likely #2–22
Strength of schedule
27.8
#83 of 130
Strength of victory
27.8
#27
Record SOS
0.451
Opp. 41.6% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
63.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −6.1 | −1.9 | 0.124 | 3 | +15.8 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −16.0 | −1.9 | 0.034 | 4 | +19.0 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | −5.6 | +1.9 | 0.193 | 3 | −0.2 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | W 41-24 | +17.2 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Weber State · p 0.581
- Wk 15: vs William & Mary · p 0.599
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.731
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68