Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-7 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#73
−1.6 pts · likely #46–96
Strength of schedule
36.7
#25 of 130
Strength of victory
18.2
#64
Record SOS
0.517
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Sam Houston | W 10-3 | +2.5 | +1.9 | 0.376 | 2 | +9.3 |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | L 24-27 | +6.3 | −1.9 | 0.380 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 10-27 | +12.6 | −1.9 | 0.548 | 1 | −7.1 |
| 5 | at Portland State | L 27-35 | −10.1 | +1.9 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 3-40